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Title:
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Serial defaults, serial profits: returns to sovereign lending in Habsburg Spain, 1566-1600
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Author:
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Drelichman, Mauricio; Voth, Hans-Joachim
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Other authors:
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Universitat Pompeu Fabra. Departament d'Economia i Empresa |
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Abstract:
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Philip II of Spain accumulated debts equivalent to 60% of GDP. He also defaulted four times on his short-term loans, thus becoming the first serial defaulter in history. Contrary to a common view in the literature, we show that lending to the king was profitable even under worst-case scenario assumptions. Lenders maintained long-term relationships with the crown. Losses sustained during defaults were more than compensated by profits in normal times. Defaults were not catastrophic events. In effect, short-term lending acted as an insurance mechanism, allowing the king to reduce his payments in harsh times in exchange for paying a premium in tranquil periods. © 2010 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. |
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Publication date:
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2011-06-09 |
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Subject(s):
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Sovereign debt, Serial default, Rate of return, Profitability, Spain |
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Rights:
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Aquest document està subjecte a una llicència d'ús de Creative Commons, amb la qual es permet copiar, distribuir i comunicar públicament l'obra sempre que se'n citin l'autor original, la universitat i el departament i no se'n faci cap ús comercial ni obra derivada, tal com queda estipulat en la llicència d'ús (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.5/es/) |
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Document type:
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Working Paper |
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